Aadil (site owner)'s Blog – April 2011 Archive (151)

March Job Report

Nonfarm Payrolls for March increased to 216,000, analyst expected 185,000.

Nonfarm Private Payrolls for March increased to 230,000.

Unemployment Rate for March reports in at 8.8%.

Hourly Earnings for March remain unchanged, analyst expected an increase of 0.2%.

The March Average Workweek remains unchanged from February at 34.3 hours.

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 3:39pm — No Comments

Commentary by Kathy Lien: Dollar Soars after Non-Farm Payrolls Reinforces Need to Withdraw Stimulus Inbox X

Stronger than expected non-farm payrolls growth and the continual the decline in the unemployment rate has driven the U.S. dollar sharply higher. With corporations in the U.S. adding 216k jobs in the month of March and the unemployment rate falling to its lowest level in 2 years, the latest labor market report reinforces optimism from Federal Reserve officials and supports the unwinding of emergency stimulus

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 2:58pm — No Comments

Scenario 1 : NFP Exceeds 275k, Unemployment Rate Unchanged or Better – Dollar Positive

Scenario 2: NFP Less than 200k, Unemployment Rate ticks Higher, Nominal Revisions – Dollar Negative

Scenario 3: NFP Exceeds 250k, Unemployment Rate Increases – Depends on Size of NFP Surprise

Scenario 4: NFP Less than 200k, Unemployment Rate Unchanged or Better - Nominal Reaction in USD,…


Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:55am — No Comments

DAX - resistance

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:51am — No Comments

FTSE 100 - wall of resistance ............

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:51am — No Comments

How The Dollar Could React To Payrolls

The current forecast for non-farm payrolls calls for job growth of 190k but the projection by individual economists range from a low of 150k to a high of 295k. The only way the NFP report could be unambiguously positive for the U.S. dollar is if payrolls exceed 275k, the unemployment rate remains unchanged or improves along with an upward revision to the prior month’s report.  If non-farm payrolls are strong but the unemployment rate ticks higher, the rally in the dollar could be limited. By…


Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:16am — No Comments

Most important number tomorrow - US unemployment numbers

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:05am — No Comments

Traders were pleased to hear some hawkish comments from FOMC voter Kocherlakota

who said interest rates may have to increase by 75bp with the first rate hike coming as early as late 2011.

Added by Aadil (site owner) on April 1, 2011 at 12:00am — No Comments

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